Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions sustained winds of 74 mph or greater are expected somewhere within the specified area. Evacuate immediately if so ordered. Southeast of Cosme is an area of low pressure that could develop several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico in a few days. Future Shear Forecasts. Show Thumbnails.
Hurricane and Tropical Cyclones
Hello, I am set to arrive in Cancun on August 2, and have been watching the weather. The National Hurricane Center has noted some activity in the Atlantic. Wunderground is calling it Invesh 92L. This is the most recent update from NHC:. For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico :. I know it is far out, but this is making me a little nervous.
Expected impact?
Invest L has now emerged over the northeast Gulf of Mexico and will move westward over the next several days. Those living from the upper Texas coast to the Florida Panhandle should monitor forecast updates from reliable sources over the course of the week. Stay tuned for updates. Jump to. Sections of this page. Accessibility help. Email or Phone Password Forgotten account?
Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Hello, I am set to arrive in Cancun on August 2, and have been watching the weather. The National Hurricane Center has noted some activity in the Atlantic. Wunderground is calling it Invest 92L. This is the most recent update from NHC:. For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico :. I know it is far out, but this is making me a little nervous.
Last night this had less than 50 percent chance of formation and has now jumped to Your trip is twelve days away. Look at historical paths for systems in that area and check their paths and how long they take to travel to land. The following link suggests that it would be past the Yucatan within eight days and «may» travel north.
Both path and time to travel are only best guesses IF the system develops and does not deteriorate. Since I do not know how to predict the path of tropical systems, I find that the «Historical» maps are very useful for a quick look as to where the system might go. If a system at Point A almost always turns north before reaching the Yucatan area, my view is that it does not make sense to worry about another in that same area today. This is the Historical track link for this system but nothing is showing up for me.
Perhaps they wait until it is a named storm or the data is not available. In your position, I would definitely keep an eye on it but it’s too early to predict if it will affect the Yucatan at all at this point. The first was was preceded by about two days that were cloudier than usual but still with sunny breaks. The actual storm hit in the evening, the wind just howled and it rained hard invest 92l 2020 noaa night.
The next day was sunny and gorgeous. The second one was last October. We sat in the bar overlooking the ocean and actually watched the storm come inland. It started raining around am and rained hard for the rest of the day.
Again, the next day was sunny and hot. Hope this does not turn into an obsession again on TA. If your obsessed about the possibility of storms and rain rebook for January. This topic has been closed to new posts due to inactivity. We hope you’ll join the conversation by posting to an open topic or starting a new one. We remove posts that do not follow our posting guidelines, and we reserve the right to remove any post for any reason.
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Noaw Forecasts. A key point to emphasize is that no matter what category this storm ends up as or notit is going to be a significant rainfall producer along the Gulf Coast. Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. Saharan Air Layer Dry Air. In these cases, the forecast conditions on land invest 92l 2020 noaa alerting the public. This is generally within 36 hours. Long term project this week is invest 92L.
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